[StBernard] TS ALBERTO Forecast/Advisory 6

Westley Annis westley at da-parish.com
Sun Jun 11 12:04:08 EDT 2006


000
WTNT21 KNHC 111433
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 6
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1500Z SUN JUN 11 2006

INTERESTS IN THE EASTERN GULF OF MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS
SYSTEM.

TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 88.1W AT 11/1500Z POSITION
ACCURATE WITHIN 40 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 8 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 40 KT WITH
GUSTS TO 50 KT.
34 KT.......150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL MILES ARE
THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 23.9N 88.1W AT 11/1500Z AT 11/1200Z CENTER WAS
LOCATED NEAR 23.6N 87.9W

FORECAST VALID 12/0000Z 24.9N 88.7W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 12/1200Z 26.0N 87.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.3N 85.8W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.5N 83.5W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N 77.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS
50 KT.
34 KT...150NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM ON DAY 4
AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 15/1200Z 39.0N 67.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS
50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 46.0N 54.0W...EXTRATROPICAL MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS
50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 23.9N 88.1W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 11/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$






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