[StBernard] Tropical Weather Outlook

Westley Annis westley at da-parish.com
Sat Jun 10 12:36:22 EDT 2006



000
ABNT20 KNHC 100930
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL 530 AM EDT SAT JUN 10 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED
ABOUT 100 MILES SOUTH OF CABO SAN ANTONIO AT THE WESTERN END OF CUBA IS
MOVING NORTHWARD. THIS SYSTEM HAS CHANGED LITTLE IN ORGANIZATION DURING THE
NIGHT. HOWEVER...CONDITIONS APPEAR TO BE FAVORABLE FOR THIS SYSTEM TO
BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION OR A TROPICAL STORM DURING THE NEXT 12 TO 24
HOURS. THIS SYSTEM IS EXPECTED TO MOVE INTO THE SOUTHEASTERN GULF OF MEXICO
LATER TODAY BRINGING SQUALLS AND ADDITIONAL RAINS TO THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND
PORTIONS OF CUBA. AN AIR FORCE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE SYSTEM THIS AFTERNOON...IF NECESSARY.

ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD CLOSELY MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
BECAUSE DEVELOPMENT COULD OCCUR NEAR CUBA AT ANY TIME TODAY...A TROPICAL
STORM WATCH OR WARNING MAY BE REQUIRED FOR PORTIONS OF WESTERN CUBA.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SUNDAY.

FORECASTER BEVEN

$$






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